Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alevtina Ibragimova
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alevtina Ibragimova
5-5 (W-L)
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alevtina Ibragimova 1566 · Maia Ilinca Burcescu 1496
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alevtina Ibragimova (rating 1566 vs 1496).
- Note: Maia Ilinca Burcescu makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Maia Ilinca Burcescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.5 | 10.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alevtina Ibragimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Clara Burel WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 23/07 | Alice Rame WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Isabelle Cherny W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 23/04 | Fabienne Gettwart W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/04 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/12 | Yasmine Mansouri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/12 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/12 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/12 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 16/10 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu?
Our model gives 74% to Alevtina Ibragimova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.