Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Carol Zhao
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Carol Zhao
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Carol Zhao
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1481 · Carol Zhao 1496
| Emerson Jones | Carol Zhao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Carol Zhao makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Carol Zhao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-13.3 | 8.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Taylah Preston W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/04 | Ayano Shimizu W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Gabriela Knutson W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Carol Zhao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Justina Mikulskyte Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Celine Naef WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Katarina Zavatska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Yidi Yang WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/05 | Peangtarn Plipuech WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/04 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Lin Zhu W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Kyoka Okamura W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/04 | Yiming Dang W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Carol Zhao?
Our model gives 67% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.