Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Jia-Jing Lu vs Caroline Dolehide
Prediction summary
Winner
Jia-Jing Lu
Caroline Dolehide
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jia-Jing Lu
5-5 (W-L)
Caroline Dolehide
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jia-Jing Lu 1532 · Caroline Dolehide 1505
| Jia-Jing Lu | Caroline Dolehide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Jia-Jing Lu | Caroline Dolehide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.8 | 10.4-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Isabella Marton W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna Frey W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Monika Ekstrand W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Chenting Zhu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Caroline Dolehide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 23/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/03 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 16/03 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Miami · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/03 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/02 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jia-Jing Lu vs Caroline Dolehide?
Our model gives 66% to Caroline Dolehide, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.