Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Greet Minnen vs Maddison Inglis
Prediction summary
Winner
Greet Minnen
Maddison Inglis
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Greet Minnen
7-3 (W-L)
Maddison Inglis
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Greet Minnen 1563 · Maddison Inglis 1468
| Greet Minnen | Maddison Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Greet Minnen (rating 1563 vs 1468).
- Greet Minnen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maddison Inglis makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Greet Minnen | Maddison Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.3 | 9.5-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Greet Minnen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Fiona Ferro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Viktoriya Tomova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Maddison Inglis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Hanyu Guo WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Alycia Parks WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/06 | Celine Naef WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Robin Montgomery French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Ena Koike W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/04 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Greet Minnen vs Maddison Inglis?
Our model gives 65% to Greet Minnen, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.