Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas
Prediction summary
Winner
Lizette Cabrera
Sofia Costoulas
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lizette Cabrera
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Costoulas
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lizette Cabrera
0–1
Sofia Costoulas
(1 last)
- 21 Nov0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lizette Cabrera 1524 · Sofia Costoulas 1498
| Lizette Cabrera | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lizette Cabrera 0–1 Sofia Costoulas (1).
- Note: Lizette Cabrera makes many double faults (6.5/match).
- Note: Sofia Costoulas makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Lizette Cabrera | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.9 | 11.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 64.2% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Lizette Cabrera 0 – 1 Sofia Costoulas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lizette Cabrera 0–1 Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/24 ITF W50 Caloundra | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lizette Cabrera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Emma Dong W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Anna Tabunshchyk W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Lea Ma W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W75 Granby |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Sohyun Park W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Kisa Yoshioka W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 12/05 | Katy Dunne W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Sapfo Sakellaridi WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Nadia Podoroska W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Hanyu Guo French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Mai Hontama French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia Costoulas?
Our model gives 59% to Sofia Costoulas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.