Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 27/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Maria Sara Popa
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Maria Sara Popa
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
4-6 (W-L)
Maria Sara Popa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1506 · Maria Sara Popa 1515
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Maria Sara Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucija Ciric Bagaric makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Maria Sara Popa makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Maria Sara Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.1 | 11.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Maria Toma W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Dora Miskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Barbora Palicova WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Caroline Werner W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Maria Sara Popa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Claire Liu WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Yara Bartashevich WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Britt Du Pree W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Lian Tran W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Maria Sara Popa?
Our model gives 51% to Lucija Ciric Bagaric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.