Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 27/07, 10:15

Prediction: Toufik Sahtali vs Mert Naci Turker

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Toufik Sahtali Mert Naci Turker
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Toufik Sahtali 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLWW
Mert Naci Turker 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toufik Sahtali 1550 · Mert Naci Turker 1564
Toufik SahtaliMert Naci Turker
Our model48%52%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Toufik SahtaliMert Naci Turker
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.6-0.6
Games (G-P)11-7.411.4-9.3
Aces2.73.8
Double faults4.43
1st serve %66.5%77.5%
Break %55.1%33.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Toufik Sahtali

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Gokberk Saritas
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
18/07 Charles Bertimon
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-17 L
17/07 Dominick Mosejczuk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 19-14 W
16/07 Karim Mabrouk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Younes Lalami Laaroussi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Nicolas Robert
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-10 L
03/07 Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-9 L
02/07 Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
01/07 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
20/06 Daniel Domingos
Davis Cup
2-0 12-4 W

Mert Naci Turker

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Kuzey Kerem Bayrak
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
04/07 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
03/07 Melih Anavatan
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Bogdan Seleznev
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Muzammil Murtaza
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
25/06 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/06 Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
07/06 Dimitris Azoidis
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L
06/06 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
05/06 Romain Faucon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 11-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toufik Sahtali vs Mert Naci Turker?

Our model gives 58% to Toufik Sahtali, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.