Tennis · WTA Washington · 26/07, 18:00
Prediction: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Kasatkina
Alana Smith
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Kasatkina
4-6 (W-L)
Alana Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Kasatkina 1483 · Alana Smith 1504
| Daria Kasatkina | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Daria Kasatkina makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Daria Kasatkina | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.9 | 10.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Kasatkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Janice Tjen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Mimi Xu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/05 | Zeynep Sonmez French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Alana Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Lea Ma WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Kylie Collins WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Sydney Jara WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Anna Frey W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Min Liu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Lisa Zaar WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Victoria Bosio WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith?
Our model gives 70% to Daria Kasatkina, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.