Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 26/07, 23:30
Prediction: Miho Kuramochi vs Avery Alexander
Prediction summary
Winner
Miho Kuramochi
Avery Alexander
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Miho Kuramochi
6-4 (W-L)
Avery Alexander
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miho Kuramochi
1–0
Avery Alexander
(1 last)
- 24 Jul2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miho Kuramochi 1552 · Avery Alexander 1507
| Miho Kuramochi | Avery Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miho Kuramochi (rating 1552 vs 1507).
- Head-to-head: Miho Kuramochi 1–0 Avery Alexander (1).
- Note: Miho Kuramochi makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Miho Kuramochi | Avery Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.2 | 10.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Miho Kuramochi 1 – 0 Avery Alexander (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miho Kuramochi 1–0 Avery Alexander
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 W35 Saskatoon | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miho Kuramochi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Hiroko Kuwata WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Avery Alexander W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Mia Kupres W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W75 Granby |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Victoria Mulville W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Avery Alexander
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Martina Okalova WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Miho Kuramochi W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Martyna Ostrzygalo W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Erika Sema W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Scarlett Nicholson W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/03 | Catherine Rennard W15 Victoriaville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/03 | Jada Robinson W15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Rachael Smith ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miho Kuramochi vs Avery Alexander?
Our model gives 65% to Miho Kuramochi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.