Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 27/07, 04:30
Prediction: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadan
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Hernandez
Alan Magadan
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Hernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Alan Magadan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Hernandez 1487 · Alan Magadan 1529
| Alex Hernandez | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Magadan (rating 1487 vs 1529).
Statistics
| Alex Hernandez | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.6 | 12.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Nick Hardt Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Pedro Rodrigues M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Jefferson Wendler Filho M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Garrett Johns ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Owen Demuth Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadan?
Our model gives 57% to Alan Magadan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.