Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 26/07, 22:00
Prediction: Emma Dong vs Valeria Savinykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Dong
Valeria Savinykh
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Dong
7-3 (W-L)
Valeria Savinykh
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Dong 1573 · Valeria Savinykh 1498
| Emma Dong | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Dong (rating 1573 vs 1498).
- Emma Dong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Emma Dong | Valeria Savinykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-6.4 | 10.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Ena Shibahara WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 23/07 | Lilian Poling W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Mio Mushika W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lilian Poling W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Mariya Dobreva W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexia Jacobs UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Sofia De Looze UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Valeria Savinykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Mia Kupres WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Hina Inoue W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Celia Anson Sanchez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ankita Raina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Marina Davtyan W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/04 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Luzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Dong vs Valeria Savinykh?
Our model gives 54% to Emma Dong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.