Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 27/07, 00:00
Prediction: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayla Day
Mai Hontama
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Day
8-2 (W-L)
Mai Hontama
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayla Day 1527 · Mai Hontama 1506
| Kayla Day | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mai Hontama makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Kayla Day | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.7 | 11.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 43% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayla Day
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Erika Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Cadence Brace Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Mary Stoiana WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mai Hontama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Diane Parry WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Valentina Ryser WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Magda Linette WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Akasha Urhobo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama?
Our model gives 55% to Kayla Day, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.