Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Bax
Prediction summary
Winner
Takuya Kumasaka
Florent Bax
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Takuya Kumasaka
7-3 (W-L)
Florent Bax
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Takuya Kumasaka 1507 · Florent Bax 1545
| Takuya Kumasaka | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Takuya Kumasaka | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.8 | 12.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 62.8% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Asier Meneses Perny Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Robin Bertrand M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Alvaro Jimenez M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Florent Bax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dan Added Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxence Rivet M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Lenny Couturier M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Bax?
Our model gives 59% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.