Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Karan Singh
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Karan Singh
5-5 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karan Singh 1431 · Koki Matsuda 1527
| Karan Singh | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Koki Matsuda (rating 1431 vs 1527).
- Koki Matsuda is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Karan Singh | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.5 | 10.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karan Singh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Tiago Cacao M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/05 | Matt Kleiman Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/04 | Karim Bennani Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/04 | Florent Bax Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/04 | Semen Pankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Kris Van Wyk M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 64% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.