Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Mert Alkaya vs Colin Sinclair
Prediction summary
Winner
Mert Alkaya
Colin Sinclair
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mert Alkaya
4-6 (W-L)
Colin Sinclair
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mert Alkaya 1492 · Colin Sinclair 1517
| Mert Alkaya | Colin Sinclair | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mert Alkaya | Colin Sinclair | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.6 | 14.1-12 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 9.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Robin Catry M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Aly Geldyev Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Ganuka Fernando Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Mossa Alharrasi Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 15/07 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 10/06 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mert Alkaya vs Colin Sinclair?
Our model gives 65% to Mert Alkaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.