Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Ergi Kirkin vs Paul Inchauspe
Prediction summary
Winner
Ergi Kirkin
Paul Inchauspe
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ergi Kirkin
4-6 (W-L)
Paul Inchauspe
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ergi Kirkin 1528 · Paul Inchauspe 1571
| Ergi Kirkin | Paul Inchauspe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Inchauspe (rating 1528 vs 1571).
Statistics
| Ergi Kirkin | Paul Inchauspe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 13.6-11 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Valentin Vanta M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Danil Panarin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Paul Inchauspe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 22/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ergi Kirkin vs Paul Inchauspe?
Our model gives 70% to Paul Inchauspe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.