Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Alexandr Binda
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Alexandr Binda
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitar Kuzmanov
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandr Binda
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitar Kuzmanov 1537 · Alexandr Binda 1491
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitar Kuzmanov (rating 1537 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.4 | 13-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 47% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Rafael Matos Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Aaron Gil Garcia Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Amaury Raynel M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Dmitrii Burtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Alexandr Binda?
Our model gives 69% to Dimitar Kuzmanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.