Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mirza Basic vs S Mert Ozdemir
Prediction summary
Winner
Mirza Basic
S Mert Ozdemir
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mirza Basic
4-6 (W-L)
S Mert Ozdemir
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mirza Basic 1461 · S Mert Ozdemir 1463
| Mirza Basic | S Mert Ozdemir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: S Mert Ozdemir makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Mirza Basic | S Mert Ozdemir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.4 | 10.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirza Basic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Jan Klimas Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/03 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Split · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 22/03 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Split · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/03 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/03 | Nazar Oliynykov Challenger Zadar · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/02 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Lugano · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/02 | Niels Visker Challenger Lugano · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
S Mert Ozdemir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniel Blazka M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/04 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/02 | Rocco Piatti M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Rocco Piatti M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
| 25/11 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 02/10 | Ilya Ignatov M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Joe Tyler M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirza Basic vs S Mert Ozdemir?
Our model gives 70% to Mirza Basic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.