Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 26/07, 09:30
Prediction: Melih Anavatan vs Hunter Heck
Prediction summary
Winner
Melih Anavatan
Hunter Heck
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Melih Anavatan
1-9 (W-L)
Hunter Heck
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melih Anavatan 1424 · Hunter Heck 1523
| Melih Anavatan | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hunter Heck (rating 1424 vs 1523).
- Hunter Heck is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Melih Anavatan makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Melih Anavatan | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.7 | 10.1-8.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melih Anavatan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Bora Sengul M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Muhammad Shoaib M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Gian Luca Tanner M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Shion Yamada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melih Anavatan vs Hunter Heck?
Our model gives 70% to Hunter Heck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.