Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: Toufik Sahtali vs Gokberk Saritas
Prediction summary
Winner
Toufik Sahtali
Gokberk Saritas
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Toufik Sahtali
7-3 (W-L)
Gokberk Saritas
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toufik Sahtali 1535 · Gokberk Saritas 1418
| Toufik Sahtali | Gokberk Saritas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toufik Sahtali (rating 1535 vs 1418).
- Toufik Sahtali is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Toufik Sahtali | Gokberk Saritas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8 | 7-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toufik Sahtali
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Charles Bertimon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 03/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Daniel Domingos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Ntungamili Raguin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Gokberk Saritas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Millen Hurrion M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Sacha Grandvincent M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/03 | Jan Kupcic M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 24/02 | Andrey Chepelev M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Andrey Chepelev M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/02 | Thomas Drayton M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/02 | Ioannis Stamatopoulos M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/01 | Felix Mischker M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 10/12 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toufik Sahtali vs Gokberk Saritas?
Our model gives 79% to Toufik Sahtali, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.