Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 26/07, 12:30
Prediction: Togan Tokac vs Yurii Dzhavakian
Prediction summary
Winner
Togan Tokac
Yurii Dzhavakian
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Togan Tokac
9-1 (W-L)
Yurii Dzhavakian
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Togan Tokac 1544 · Yurii Dzhavakian 1467
| Togan Tokac | Yurii Dzhavakian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Togan Tokac (rating 1544 vs 1467).
- Togan Tokac is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Yurii Dzhavakian makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Togan Tokac | Yurii Dzhavakian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-6.9 | 10.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Togan Tokac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Arin Pallegar M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 01/11 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/10 | Ethan Silva UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Khololwam Montsi UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Francisco Salmain UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Quintan Vanwijk UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yurii Dzhavakian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/05 | David Eichenseher M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Nico Hipfl M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 13/05 | Pranav Karthik M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/04 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/03 | Marek Gengel M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Leo Borg M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Brian Bozemoj M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Togan Tokac vs Yurii Dzhavakian?
Our model gives 51% to Yurii Dzhavakian, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.