Tennis · Challenger Samsun · 26/07, 14:00
Prediction: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Kerem Yilmaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Kerem Yilmaz
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
7-3 (W-L)
Kerem Yilmaz
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
2–0
Kerem Yilmaz
(2 last)
- 26 Jun2-0 12-4W
- 25 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 1555 · Kerem Yilmaz 1514
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine (rating 1555 vs 1514).
- Head-to-head: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 2–0 Kerem Yilmaz (2).
- Note: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Kerem Yilmaz makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.2 | 11.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 64% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 60.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 2 – 0 Kerem Yilmaz (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 2–0 Kerem Yilmaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 M15 Kayseri | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09/25 M15 Kayseri | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Udit Kamboj M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Renato Kurmanaev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 26/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kerem Yilmaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Fumin Jiang M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Felix Roussel M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Theo Herrmann M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Adhithya Ganesan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Kerem Yilmaz?
Our model gives 64% to Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.