Tennis · WTA Washington · 26/07, 16:00
Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kudermetova
Varvara Lepchenko
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova
3-7 (W-L)
Varvara Lepchenko
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polina Kudermetova
1–1
Varvara Lepchenko
(2 last)
- 31 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 15 Sept0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1512 · Varvara Lepchenko 1508
| Polina Kudermetova | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kudermetova | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.1 | 13.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Polina Kudermetova 1 – 1 Varvara Lepchenko (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polina Kudermetova 1–1 Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/24 WTA Merida | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09/23 WTA Guadalajara | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Liv Boulard WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Jessika Ponchet Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Priscilla Hon WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Varvara Lepchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Anna Petkovic WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lisa Zaar WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenko?
Our model gives 56% to Polina Kudermetova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.