Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 26/07, 11:30
Prediction: Amandine Monnot vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Prediction summary
Winner
Amandine Monnot
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Amandine Monnot
2-8 (W-L)
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Amandine Monnot
0–1
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
(1 last)
- 02 Dec1-2 13-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amandine Monnot 1440 · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1489
| Amandine Monnot | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucija Ciric Bagaric (rating 1440 vs 1489).
- Head-to-head: Amandine Monnot 0–1 Lucija Ciric Bagaric (1).
- Note: Amandine Monnot makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Lucija Ciric Bagaric makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Amandine Monnot | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-12.7 | 9.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Amandine Monnot 0 – 1 Lucija Ciric Bagaric (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amandine Monnot 0–1 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/23 ITF W25 Lousada | 1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amandine Monnot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W75 Cordenons |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Jasmijn Gimbrere WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Mia Horvit W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Francesca Curmi W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Lilli Tagger WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Maria Toma W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Dora Miskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Barbora Palicova WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Caroline Werner W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amandine Monnot vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric?
Our model gives 57% to Amandine Monnot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.