Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 26/07, 04:30
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Lorenzo Claverie
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Lorenzo Claverie
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Claverie
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1527 · Lorenzo Claverie 1556
| Tristan Boyer | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Boyer dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Note: Lorenzo Claverie makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.5 | 14-12.6 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 12.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +4.1
Over 20.5: 76% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 24% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lorenzo Claverie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Nick Hardt Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Liam Krall M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Lorenzo Claverie?
Our model gives 67% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.