Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 26/07, 03:00
Prediction: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Magadan
Garrett Johns
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Magadan
4-6 (W-L)
Garrett Johns
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Magadan 1522 · Garrett Johns 1482
| Alan Magadan | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Magadan (rating 1522 vs 1482).
Statistics
| Alan Magadan | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.9 | 12.4-13.6 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Owen Demuth Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 20/07 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Eero Vasa Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns?
Our model gives 56% to Alan Magadan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.