Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 25/07, 20:30

Prediction: Avery Alexander vs Martina Okalova

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Avery Alexander Martina Okalova
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Avery Alexander 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLWL
Martina Okalova 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Avery Alexander 1501 · Martina Okalova 1472
Avery AlexanderMartina Okalova
Our model54%46%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Martina Okalova makes many double faults (7.5/match).

Statistics

Avery AlexanderMartina Okalova
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11-1.4
Games (G-P)10.2-10.510.8-12.3
Aces11
Double faults2.57.5
1st serve %60.2%57%
Break %37%48.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avery Alexander

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/07 Miho Kuramochi
W35 Saskatoon
0-2 7-13 L
22/07 Martyna Ostrzygalo
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Erika Sema
W75 Granby
0-2 2-12 L
13/07 Olivia Lincer
W75 Granby
2-0 12-6 W
12/07 Scarlett Nicholson
W75 Granby
2-0 12-1 W
10/03 Catherine Rennard
W15 Victoriaville
1-2 14-16 L
03/03 Jada Robinson
W15 Trois-Rivieres
0-2 6-12 L
21/10 Viktoria Hruncakova
ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard
1-2 9-18 L
20/10 Rachael Smith
ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
19/10 Emma Kamper
ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Martina Okalova

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Ipek Oz
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
06/07 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Petra Sedlackova
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
29/06 Anastasiya Zaparyniuk
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
24/06 Barbora Palicova
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/06 Nika Hurkacz
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/06 Ewa Czapulak
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
15/06 Pauline Dore
W75 Blois · ~Clay
1-2 19-19 L
04/06 Cadence Brace
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
1-2 9-18 L
04/06 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-1 17-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avery Alexander vs Martina Okalova?

Our model gives 56% to Martina Okalova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.