Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 25/07, 20:30
Prediction: Ena Shibahara vs Emma Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Ena Shibahara
Emma Dong
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ena Shibahara
3-7 (W-L)
Emma Dong
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ena Shibahara 1454 · Emma Dong 1571
| Ena Shibahara | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Dong (rating 1454 vs 1571).
- Emma Dong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ena Shibahara makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Ena Shibahara | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.4 | 10.9-5.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 48% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ena Shibahara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04 | Misaki Matsuda W100 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/03 | Yidi Yang W50 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Claire Liu W75 Kofu · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/03 | Hayu Kinoshita W75 Kyoto |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/03 | Yexin Ma W75 Kyoto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/03 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kyoto |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/03 | Kurea Hayasaka W75 Kyoto |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/03 | Sara Saito W75 Kyoto |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/02 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Austin · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/02 | Hiromi Abe W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Emma Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 23/07 | Lilian Poling W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Mio Mushika W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lilian Poling W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Mariya Dobreva W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexia Jacobs UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Gabriella Davydov UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Sofia De Looze UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Bhakti Shah UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ena Shibahara vs Emma Dong?
Our model gives 51% to Ena Shibahara, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.