Tennis · WTA Washington · 25/07, 17:30
Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Mei Yamaguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kudermetova
Mei Yamaguchi
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova
2-8 (W-L)
Mei Yamaguchi
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polina Kudermetova
2–0
Mei Yamaguchi
(2 last)
- 06 Dec2-1 12-10W
- 14 Sept2-1 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1486 · Mei Yamaguchi 1487
| Polina Kudermetova | Mei Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Polina Kudermetova 2–0 Mei Yamaguchi (2).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kudermetova | Mei Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.3 | 10.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Polina Kudermetova 2 – 0 Mei Yamaguchi (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polina Kudermetova 2–0 Mei Yamaguchi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/24 ITF W100 Dubai | 2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 14/09/24 WTA Seoul | 2-1 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Liv Boulard WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Jessika Ponchet Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Priscilla Hon WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Mei Yamaguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Reina Goto W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Rebecca Marino W75 Granby |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Junhan Zhang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Eunhye Lee W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Yidi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Erika Sema W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Mei Yamaguchi?
Our model gives 63% to Polina Kudermetova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.