Tennis · WTA Washington · 25/07, 16:00
Prediction: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson
Prediction summary
Winner
Kamilla Rakhimova
Heather Watson
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kamilla Rakhimova
2-8 (W-L)
Heather Watson
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kamilla Rakhimova
1–0
Heather Watson
(1 last)
- 22 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamilla Rakhimova 1485 · Heather Watson 1501
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kamilla Rakhimova 1–0 Heather Watson (1).
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Heather Watson makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kamilla Rakhimova | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.4 | 11.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Kamilla Rakhimova 1 – 0 Heather Watson (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamilla Rakhimova 1–0 Heather Watson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/25 WTA Eastbourne | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamilla Rakhimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anhelina Kalinina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Karolina Muchova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/05 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Heather Watson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Maria Timofeeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Tatiana Prozorova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Mayar Sherif Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Xiaodi You WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Aoi Ito W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson?
Our model gives 54% to Kamilla Rakhimova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.