Tennis · WTA Washington · 25/07, 20:30
Prediction: Shuai Zhang vs Gabriela Knutson
Prediction summary
Winner
Shuai Zhang
Gabriela Knutson
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Shuai Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Gabriela Knutson
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shuai Zhang 1504 · Gabriela Knutson 1488
| Shuai Zhang | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Shuai Zhang | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 56% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.3 | 10-10 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shuai Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Milena Steinkamp WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Heather Watson WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Ann Li French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Gabriela Knutson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Irem Kurt WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Valentina Ryser W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Leilany Ipunesso W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Olga Danilova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shuai Zhang vs Gabriela Knutson?
Our model gives 63% to Shuai Zhang, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.