Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 25/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Natalie Oliver
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexie Weir
Natalie Oliver
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lexie Weir
3-7 (W-L)
Natalie Oliver
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1449 · Natalie Oliver 1424
| Lexie Weir | Natalie Oliver | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Lexie Weir | Natalie Oliver | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.3 | 9.1-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Amara Brahmbhatt UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Natalie Oliver?
Our model gives 61% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.