Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 25/07, 17:30
Prediction: Riley Crowder vs Alana Boyce
Prediction summary
Winner
Riley Crowder
Alana Boyce
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Riley Crowder
5-5 (W-L)
Alana Boyce
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riley Crowder 1524 · Alana Boyce 1455
| Riley Crowder | Alana Boyce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riley Crowder (rating 1524 vs 1455).
- Riley Crowder is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Riley Crowder makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Alana Boyce makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Riley Crowder | Alana Boyce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.6 | 10.2-13.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riley Crowder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 21/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Elle Warren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Mackenzie Clark UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Alana Boyce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Gabriella Goyins UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Ariana Anazagasty-Pursoo UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Kailey Evans UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Ava Rodriguez ITF W15 Huntsville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riley Crowder vs Alana Boyce?
Our model gives 62% to Riley Crowder, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.