Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 24/07, 16:30
Prediction: Natalie Oliver vs Ariana Gilbert
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalie Oliver
Ariana Gilbert
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Natalie Oliver
3-7 (W-L)
Ariana Gilbert
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Oliver 1429 · Ariana Gilbert 1445
| Natalie Oliver | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Oliver | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12.6 | 9.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 57% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ariana Gilbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Aryana Bartlett UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Serafima Elizarova UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Addison Bowman UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Oliver vs Ariana Gilbert?
Our model gives 56% to Ariana Gilbert, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.