Tennis · W100 Evansville · 24/07, 17:00

Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Yeon Woo Ku

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Mary Stoiana Yeon Woo Ku
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWW
Yeon Woo Ku 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1548 · Yeon Woo Ku 1527
Mary StoianaYeon Woo Ku
Our model53%47%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Mary StoianaYeon Woo Ku
Win %70%60%
Win % · Grass 63% (8) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.71.3-1
Games (G-P)12.9-8.611.5-10
Aces2.51.1
Double faults3.13.8
1st serve %65.5%61%
Break %60.4%56%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mary Stoiana

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Julieta Pareja
W100 Evansville
2-0 12-7 W
22/07 Anna Rogers
W100 Evansville
2-0 12-2 W
10/07 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Newport · Grass
1-2 13-16 L
09/07 Iryna Shymanovich
WTA Newport · Grass
2-1 15-11 W
08/07 Katrina Scott
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 15-15 L
23/06 Kayla Cross
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
13/06 Celine Naef
WTA Ilkley · Grass
1-2 13-13 L
12/06 Tatiana Prozorova
WTA Ilkley · Grass
2-0 13-6 W
12/06 Lulu Sun
WTA Ilkley · Grass
2-0 12-5 W

Yeon Woo Ku

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Darja Vidmanova
W100 Evansville
2-1 15-13 W
22/07 Reina Goto
W100 Evansville
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Miho Kuramochi
W75 Granby
1-2 16-14 L
23/06 Teodora Kostovic
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
20/06 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
19/06 Martyna Kubka
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
17/06 Viktoria Hruncakova
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/06 Savannah Broadus
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/06 Francisca Laundes
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Yeon Woo Ku?

Our model gives 59% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.