Tennis · W100 Evansville · 23/07, 18:30
Prediction: Renata Zarazua vs Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Renata Zarazua
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Renata Zarazua
3-7 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Renata Zarazua
3–0
Sloane Stephens
(3 last)
- 30 Mar2-0 12-2W
- 05 Jan2-1 17-13W
- 26 Feb2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renata Zarazua 1499 · Sloane Stephens 1488
| Renata Zarazua | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Renata Zarazua 3–0 Sloane Stephens (3).
Statistics
| Renata Zarazua | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-11 | 10.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Renata Zarazua 3 – 0 Sloane Stephens (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renata Zarazua 3–0 Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/26 WTA Charleston | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/01/26 WTA Auckland | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/02/20 WTA Acapulco | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Mariella Thamm WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Lisa Pigato French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Carol Young Suh Lee French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/04 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/04 | Diane Parry WTA Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/04 | Veronika Podrez WTA Rouen · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renata Zarazua vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 53% to Renata Zarazua, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.