Tennis · W100 Evansville · 24/07, 18:30
Prediction: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucrezia Stefanini
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucrezia Stefanini
8-2 (W-L)
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucrezia Stefanini 1598 · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1576
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mananchaya Sawangkaew makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-5.8 | 12.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 63.5% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Anna Rogers WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Haruka Kaji W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuki Naito W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Sara Saito W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Lea Ma WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Maja Chwalinska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucrezia Stefanini vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew?
Our model gives 53% to Mananchaya Sawangkaew, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.