Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Sebastian Sorger
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommaso Compagnucci
Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tommaso Compagnucci
7-3 (W-L)
Sebastian Sorger
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tommaso Compagnucci
0–1
Sebastian Sorger
(1 last)
- 22 Mar0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommaso Compagnucci 1516 · Sebastian Sorger 1536
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tommaso Compagnucci 0–1 Sebastian Sorger (1).
Statistics
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.3 | 12-10.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 52% | 62.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Tommaso Compagnucci 0 – 1 Sebastian Sorger (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tommaso Compagnucci 0–1 Sebastian Sorger
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/24 M15 Opatija | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommaso Compagnucci
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Alex Huszar M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Giuseppe Colasanto Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Sebastian Sorger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Gschiel M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Postolka M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matic Dimic M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Vito Tonejc M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommaso Compagnucci vs Sebastian Sorger?
Our model gives 50% to Tommaso Compagnucci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.