Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Andrej Martin vs Alexander Wagner
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrej Martin
Alexander Wagner
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Andrej Martin
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Wagner
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrej Martin
1–0
Alexander Wagner
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrej Martin 1517 · Alexander Wagner 1463
| Andrej Martin | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrej Martin (rating 1517 vs 1463).
- Head-to-head: Andrej Martin 1–0 Alexander Wagner (1).
Statistics
| Andrej Martin | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 12-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 30.1% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Andrej Martin 1 – 0 Alexander Wagner (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrej Martin 1–0 Alexander Wagner
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/24 ITF M15 Vienna | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrej Martin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Oskari Paldanius M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Florian Zimmer M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Samuel Zannoni Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Ivan Biletic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrien Burdet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Alexander Wagner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Matyas Fuele M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Patrik Meszaros M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexandr Tiutchenko M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Marton Liszka M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Tomas Lanik M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrej Martin vs Alexander Wagner?
Our model gives 74% to Andrej Martin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.