Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 24/07, 15:00
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Yannik Kelm
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Yannik Kelm
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
5-5 (W-L)
Yannik Kelm
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1521 · Yannik Kelm 1593
| Johan Nikles | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannik Kelm (rating 1521 vs 1593).
- Yannik Kelm is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 12.4-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Niels Ratiu M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 26/06 | Karim Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Yannik Kelm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | David Eichenseher M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dax Donders M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Mika Petkovic M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Niklas Schell M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Yannik Kelm?
Our model gives 58% to Yannik Kelm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.