Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 24/07, 13:00
Prediction: Daniel Siniakov vs Raphael Perot
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Siniakov
Raphael Perot
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Siniakov
7-3 (W-L)
Raphael Perot
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Siniakov
0–1
Raphael Perot
(1 last)
- 02 Aug1-2 18-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Siniakov 1535 · Raphael Perot 1519
| Daniel Siniakov | Raphael Perot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daniel Siniakov 0–1 Raphael Perot (1).
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Siniakov | Raphael Perot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.9 | 10.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Daniel Siniakov 0 – 1 Raphael Perot (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Siniakov 0–1 Raphael Perot
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 ITF M25 Wetzlar | 1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Siniakov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Liam Gavrielides M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | David Fix M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Calvin Mueller M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Raphael Perot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniel Jade Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Noah Karma Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Siniakov vs Raphael Perot?
Our model gives 50% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.