Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 24/07, 18:00

Prediction: Max Houkes vs Patrick Zahraj

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Max Houkes Patrick Zahraj
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWLWWWWW
Patrick Zahraj 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1484 · Patrick Zahraj 1453
Max HoukesPatrick Zahraj
Our model54%46%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Max HoukesPatrick Zahraj
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21-1.5
Games (G-P)11-10.611-13.1
Aces6.63.7
Double faults2.53.9
1st serve %67.1%69%
Break %28.5%28.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Max Houkes

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Metzingen
2-0 13-7 W
22/07 Stefan Popovic
M25 Metzingen
2-0 13-6 W
17/07 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
15/07 Max Schoenhaus
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/07 David Jorda Sanchis
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
22/06 Laslo Djere
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
06/06 Martin Damm
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
1-2 15-17 L
01/06 Emilio Nava
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
18/05 Marco Cecchinato
French Open · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
13/05 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Tunis · Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Patrick Zahraj

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M25 Metzingen
2-0 12-7 W
22/07 Justin Schlageter
M25 Metzingen
2-1 14-16 W
11/07 Federico Cina
ATP Gstaad · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
07/07 Henry Searle
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 14-18 L
30/06 Maxime Chazal
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
17/06 Justin Schlageter
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 17-18 L
02/06 Robin Bertrand
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/05 Giles Hussey
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
07/05 Nemanja Malesevic
M25 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
06/05 Freddie Ridout
M25 Nottingham
2-0 11-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Patrick Zahraj?

Our model gives 69% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.