Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 24/07, 12:30
Prediction: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayar Sherif
Paula Badosa
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mayar Sherif
8-2 (W-L)
Paula Badosa
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mayar Sherif
0–1
Paula Badosa
(1 last)
- 04 Apr0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayar Sherif 1644 · Paula Badosa 1643
| Mayar Sherif | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mayar Sherif 0–1 Paula Badosa (1).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Mayar Sherif | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (10) | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 2-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-9.2 | 13.3-9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 69% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Mayar Sherif 0 – 1 Paula Badosa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mayar Sherif 0–1 Paula Badosa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/23 WTA Charleston | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayar Sherif
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Amandine Hesse WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Paula Badosa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Emiliana Arango WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa?
Our model gives 56% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.