Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Paula Badosa vs Panna Udvardy
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Badosa
Panna Udvardy
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Badosa
9-1 (W-L)
Panna Udvardy
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paula Badosa
1–0
Panna Udvardy
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Badosa 1649 · Panna Udvardy 1530
| Paula Badosa | Panna Udvardy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Badosa (rating 1649 vs 1530).
- Paula Badosa is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Paula Badosa 1–0 Panna Udvardy (1).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Paula Badosa | Panna Udvardy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9 | 10.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 48% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Paula Badosa 1 – 0 Panna Udvardy (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paula Badosa 1–0 Panna Udvardy
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 WTA Iasi | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Badosa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Emiliana Arango WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Panna Udvardy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Viktorija Golubic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Badosa vs Panna Udvardy?
Our model gives 66% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.