Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 24/07, 11:00
Prediction: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Bondar
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Bondar
7-3 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Bondar 1498 · Alina Charaeva 1546
| Anna Bondar | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Charaeva (rating 1498 vs 1546).
- Alina Charaeva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Anna Bondar | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-13.9 | 13.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Bondar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 13/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Solana Sierra Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alina Charaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 21/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 51% to Anna Bondar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.