Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 23/07, 21:30
Prediction: Alex Michelsen vs Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Michelsen
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Michelsen
7-3 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Michelsen
0–2
Lloyd Harris
(2 last)
- 01 Jul2-3 26-27L
- 25 Jun1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Michelsen 1527 · Lloyd Harris 1505
| Alex Michelsen | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alex Michelsen 0–2 Lloyd Harris (2).
- Note: Alex Michelsen makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Alex Michelsen | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.1-14.2 | 11.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 15.5 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 75% |
| Break % | 53% | 29.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
H2H · Alex Michelsen 0 – 2 Lloyd Harris (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Michelsen 0–2 Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/24 Wimbledon | 2-3 | 26-27 | L |
| 25/06/23 ATP Mallorca | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Michelsen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Jacob Fearnley Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 19-25 | L |
| 29/05 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-29 | L |
| 27/05 | Nishesh Basavareddy French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 25/05 | Alexander Shevchenko French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Learner Tien ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Lloyd Harris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Moez Echargui Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Hugo Grenier French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/04 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Marrakech · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Jerome Kym Challenger Lille · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/02 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Michelsen vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 64% to Alex Michelsen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.