Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 23/07, 13:00
Prediction: Tomasz Berkieta vs Patrick Zahraj
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomasz Berkieta
Patrick Zahraj
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tomasz Berkieta
5-5 (W-L)
Patrick Zahraj
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomasz Berkieta 1500 · Patrick Zahraj 1419
| Tomasz Berkieta | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomasz Berkieta (rating 1500 vs 1419).
- Tomasz Berkieta is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Patrick Zahraj makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Tomasz Berkieta | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.7 | 10.3-13.6 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 26.7% | 22.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomasz Berkieta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Vito Tonejc M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Patrick Zahraj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 11/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Justin Schlageter M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Nemanja Malesevic M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Freddie Ridout M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 02/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomasz Berkieta vs Patrick Zahraj?
Our model gives 58% to Tomasz Berkieta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.