Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Adam Walton
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Adam Walton
Estimated games
26.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
6-4 (W-L)
Adam Walton
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1550 · Adam Walton 1558
| Michael Zheng | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 52.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.2-14 | 13.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 76% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Cameron Norrie Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Henri Squire Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Adam Walton?
Our model gives 53% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.