Tennis · W100 Evansville · 23/07, 18:30
Prediction: Ayana Akli vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Prediction summary
Winner
Ayana Akli
Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ayana Akli
6-4 (W-L)
Lucrezia Stefanini
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayana Akli 1560 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1576
| Ayana Akli | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ayana Akli | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.1 | 11.5-6.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 61.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayana Akli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Emerson Jones W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Tatum Evans W35 Rome |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Anna Rogers WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Haruka Kaji W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuki Naito W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayana Akli vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 63% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.