Tennis · W100 Evansville · 23/07, 17:00

Prediction: Savannah Broadus vs Caroline Dolehide

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Savannah Broadus Caroline Dolehide
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Savannah Broadus 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWLL
Caroline Dolehide 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Savannah Broadus 1582 · Caroline Dolehide 1480
Savannah BroadusCaroline Dolehide
Our model64%36%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Savannah Broadus (rating 1582 vs 1480).
  • Savannah Broadus is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Caroline Dolehide makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Savannah BroadusCaroline Dolehide
Win %80%40%
Win % · Hard 86% (7) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.61-1.3
Games (G-P)12.3-8.810.3-10.9
Aces4.11.6
Double faults2.34.3
1st serve %70.6%63.1%
Break %47.4%40.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Savannah Broadus

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Taylah Preston
W100 Evansville
2-1 18-12 W
06/07 Lucrezia Stefanini
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/07 Ena Koike
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/07 Lea Ma
W100 Cary · ~Hard
1-0 13-12 W
03/07 Fangran Tian
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-1 15-14 W
01/07 Katrina Scott
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Peangtarn Plipuech
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/06 Brandy Walker
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
26/06 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W35 Rome
0-2 10-13 L
25/06 Alicia Herrero Linana
W35 Rome
2-0 13-7 W

Caroline Dolehide

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Sofia Johnson
W100 Evansville
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
23/06 Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
31/03 Maria Camila Osorio
WTA Bogota · Clay
1-2 10-18 L
16/03 Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Miami · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
01/03 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Indian Wells · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
26/02 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Austin · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/02 Lulu Sun
WTA Austin · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/02 Nao Hibino
WTA Austin · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
21/02 Ena Shibahara
WTA Austin · Hard
2-1 16-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Savannah Broadus vs Caroline Dolehide?

Our model gives 53% to Savannah Broadus, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.